Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Wilmington
Colonial Athletic
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#285
Expected Predictive Rating-6.8#271
Pace67.6#168
Improvement-1.2#228

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#249
Improvement+2.5#66

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#303
Improvement-3.8#319
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2012 215   UNC Asheville W 67-59 44%     1 - 0 +1.8 -16.5 +17.4
  Nov 13, 2012 82   @ Richmond L 58-101 7%     1 - 1 -34.0 -11.2 -24.3
  Nov 16, 2012 80   @ Ohio L 47-85 7%     1 - 2 -28.8 -20.6 -8.6
  Nov 21, 2012 73   @ Purdue L 40-66 6%     1 - 3 -15.7 -22.2 +4.3
  Nov 24, 2012 249   Wofford W 49-37 52%     2 - 3 +3.6 -16.7 +21.4
  Nov 25, 2012 274   Hampton W 61-60 58%     3 - 3 -9.0 -9.2 +0.1
  Dec 01, 2012 224   @ Marshall L 58-61 23%     3 - 4 -3.3 -11.6 +8.1
  Dec 08, 2012 102   @ Georgia Tech L 66-73 8%     3 - 5 +0.8 +4.5 -4.1
  Dec 15, 2012 70   @ Davidson L 61-77 5%     3 - 6 -5.6 -3.2 -4.1
  Dec 19, 2012 289   UNC Greensboro W 87-73 64%     4 - 6 +2.5 +3.0 -1.3
  Dec 29, 2012 298   @ Campbell L 60-72 41%     4 - 7 -17.7 -15.2 -2.7
  Jan 02, 2013 169   Towson L 74-79 33%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -8.4 -6.3 -1.7
  Jan 05, 2013 178   @ Northeastern L 64-68 16%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -1.4 +0.3 -2.3
  Jan 09, 2013 182   @ James Madison L 50-78 17%     4 - 10 0 - 3 -25.7 -21.9 -2.8
  Jan 12, 2013 145   George Mason W 82-74 28%     5 - 10 1 - 3 +6.1 +2.3 +3.2
  Jan 16, 2013 276   Old Dominion W 65-60 58%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -5.1 -5.9 +1.4
  Jan 23, 2013 191   @ Georgia St. L 63-81 18%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -16.0 -11.5 -4.6
  Jan 26, 2013 293   @ Hofstra W 57-51 40%     7 - 11 3 - 4 +0.8 -10.0 +11.2
  Jan 28, 2013 182   James Madison L 56-63 36%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -11.1 -9.8 -2.2
  Feb 02, 2013 168   @ Delaware L 56-71 15%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -11.8 -15.5 +3.5
  Feb 04, 2013 169   @ Towson L 68-81 15%     7 - 14 3 - 7 -9.9 +4.2 -15.6
  Feb 06, 2013 191   Georgia St. W 76-72 37%     8 - 14 4 - 7 -0.5 +4.9 -5.0
  Feb 09, 2013 293   Hofstra L 56-65 64%     8 - 15 4 - 8 -20.7 -16.0 -4.9
  Feb 13, 2013 216   @ William & Mary L 86-92 22%     8 - 16 4 - 9 -5.8 +9.7 -15.5
  Feb 16, 2013 178   Northeastern W 73-67 35%     9 - 16 5 - 9 +2.1 -0.8 +3.3
  Feb 20, 2013 276   @ Old Dominion L 61-84 34%     9 - 17 5 - 10 -26.6 -11.9 -15.6
  Feb 23, 2013 168   Delaware L 78-79 33%     9 - 18 5 - 11 -4.3 +9.2 -13.6
  Feb 27, 2013 216   William & Mary L 72-73 44%     9 - 19 5 - 12 -7.3 -7.2 -0.1
  Mar 02, 2013 174   @ Drexel L 46-62 16%     9 - 20 5 - 13 -13.3 -20.3 +5.4
Projected Record 9.0 - 20.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%